Val Smith for Tom McClintock (9/22-24, likely voters):
Charlie Brown (D): 39
Tom McClintock (R): 47
(MoE: ±4%)
Cute. Conservative Icon Tom McClintock finally releases an internal poll of his race to replace disgraced GOP Rep. John Doolittle, and this one shows the Icon leading by 8 points and splitting Independents by 37-48 in Brown’s favor. The poll’s release comes on the heels of a Research 2000 poll for Daily Kos that showed Brown up by five points, and a Benenson Strategy Group poll from late August that gave Brown a two-point lead.
I don’t know much about Val Smith (the Brown campaign is taking issue with their accuracy), but I think I’d rather trust the polls handled by R2K and Benenson — pollsters with more accomplished track records.
The full polling memo is available below the fold.
I wrote this over at the PolitickerCA site, figured I’d write it here too.
Let’s face it, McClintock is only even in the race because of the strong Republican advantage in this district. Though I’m wondering how Brown could only be getting 72% of the Democratic vote; seems a bit low there. Hopefully that’s just funky Val Smith polling going on there.